Can the COVID-19 pandemic end with this Omicron surge as the virus becomes epidemic?This is what the experts say

San Francisco-“reasonably likely” Pandemic According to Dr. Robert Wachter, Dean of the University of California, San Francisco School of Medicine, COVID-19 is likely to continue, but will end in a month starting today.

He predicts that as the pandemic enters a new stage, the combination of vaccination, antivirals, and Omicron infections will reduce infections and increase community immunity levels.

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This sentiment is also reflected in other infectious disease specialists in the field.

“The ultimate game is to actually lower the virus to low levels where we live, and what Omicron does is cause so many immunities that the virus is low in the community. It’s about going down to a level, “says Dr. Monica Gandhi. Infectious disease doctor and professor of medicine at UCSF. “It will bring it down to a controllable stage, which we call endemic. Therefore, after this surge, we are at the end of a pandemic and should be endemic.”

“We expect numbers to begin to decline soon in California in the coming weeks, and there is evidence that it is happening elsewhere. So what we really want is what we really want. We know we need to live with this virus, “says Dr. Yvonne Maldonado, Professor of Pediatrics (Infectious Diseases) and Epidemiology and Population Health at Stanford University.

All four doctors interviewed have expressed cautious optimism to ABC7News in San Francisco that they believe SARS-CoV-2 will stay here, but that we are heading in the right direction.

“Yes, I think it’s this year because I have to stop getting endemic at some point. I’m probably based on what’s seen in other countries that are vaccinated more than we are. Controlling subtransmission requires vaccination and booster immunization, “said Dr. George Rutherford, a UCSF epidemiologist.

All four doctors point to vaccination as the primary route to achieving an epidemic.

video: Intentionally catching Omicron puts the community at risk, says UCSF doctors.

“Of the 1.2 million people in a particular health care study who were fully vaccinated, only 36 in that group died, and there were about 2,500 infections, so the infection rate was about 0.2%. The risk of serious illness, death and other complications is very low because they can be exposed and infected with Omicron. Again, we emphasize how important vaccination is. You can’t, it’s a way out of this pandemic, “says Dr. Maldonado.

“I think we could get rid of the pandemic, which means that hospitalizations and deaths can spike, hospitalizations and deaths are less, and perhaps the same or more viruses can circulate. Infectious diseases. But it doesn’t lead to bad results, and you need to learn how to live with it with vaccination, and more about whether you can stop masking at some point later this year. If the severity of the illness goes down, “she says.

However, while Dr. Wachter can predict the reduction of infection in spring and perhaps summer with some confidence, he is not confident to say the same about autumn and winter later this year. “Many of them depend on whether there are new and worse variants.”

He says it is still unclear how much immunity is from Omicron infection alone. “For unvaccinated people, if the only immunity is due to an infection, it really depends on how good the immunity is and how long it lasts. It begins to decline and they are vulnerable again. When it comes to, we can see another significant surge, but I’m reasonably optimistic, “says Dr. Wachter.

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Can the COVID-19 pandemic end with this Omicron surge as the virus becomes epidemic?This is what the experts say

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