Atlanta – President Donald Trump came to the mountains of northern Georgia on Monday night to raise turnout in a conservative base and stop the Democratic challenger who threatened the majority of the Republican Senate with two votes. ..
It didn’t work.
Republican overwhelming white, senior, rural and exurb coalition government failed GOP senator candidate in high stakes elections on Tuesday, but Democrats succeeded in defeating Donald Trump in the state in November I proved that it was not a fluke.
Blacks and young voters, suburban people, and many recent arrivals in the state support the Democratic Party for the first time in two months, with Republican Senators David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler on John Osov and Rafael Warnock. Handed a narrow victory.
Throughout the fast-growing and diversified state of Deep South, Georgia, Tuesday’s election results shared the same story. Record turnout (more than 4.4 million) did not match the 5 million votes cast in November, but Democrats duplicate the total number of votes cast in November, even in large towns where Trump has consistently gathered. A rival to that.
That was true in Trump’s territory, Whitfield County, northern Georgia. There, he won 89% of the votes cast by Purdue and Leffler in the general election, and led all Senate candidates in the first vote. This is an impressive result for most run-offs, where turnout is often reduced. However, Osov and Warnock managed more than 90% of the total in November.
And that was true for the entire suburbs of Atlanta. The white outskirts of the north are the southern circle of the community that guarantees Republicans a state-wide victory and black voters lean their ledgers to Democrats. Democrats have also surpassed Republicans in Metro Atlanta, the center of an ever-expanding footprint that has rebuilt the Georgia economy and current politics.
There are many factors behind the Democratic victory, two months after Biden became the first Democrat to win the state’s presidential electoral college since 1992. ..
Black voters were driven by the possibility of Warnock becoming the state’s first black senator. Two years later, it’s even more coveted, after Democrat Stacey Abrams slightly missed becoming the first black female governor in US history.
And Trump cast a shadow over all of the party’s turmoil over fraudulent election fraud and continued repulsion of college-educated suburbs. Democrats have slightly overtaken Republicans in the group, according to a survey of more than 3,700 voters in Georgia.
Democrats claim that the new path to power in Georgia will last longer than the president.
“We have built a multi-ethnic, multi-ethnic, multi-generational state-wide coalition. It’s been a state-wide coalition for really years,” said various groups managing Abrams’ 2018 campaign. Lauren Glow Wargo, who was at the center of organizing the work to be done, said. on the left.
According to AP’s VoteCast, Democrats were competitive with the help of small but powerful groups in diversifying states. According to a survey, black voters (32% of constituency voters) almost universally supported Osov and Warnock. VoteCast showed that black voters accounted for 29% of voters in November. That slight rise could explain that it itself upsets state-wide results.
Voters in households with incomes less than $ 50,000 account for about 40% of state voters, and about 6 out of 10 Democrats supported. And even if the Republicans wanted Leffler to appeal to female voters, the Democrats easily won the majority of urban and suburban women, black and Latin women, and college-educated women.
The racial disparity in the state was terrible. Sixty percent of voters were white, and about three-quarters supported the Republican Party. Republican candidates have won the majority of white voters, regardless of age or gender, with or without a college degree. About two-thirds of voters in small towns and rural areas favored Leffler and Padu, including equal shares of men and women. Voters who have lived in Georgia for over 20 years (about two-thirds of all voters) have slightly supported the Republican Party.
But in rapidly changing Georgia, that wasn’t enough.
Since 2017, according to the census, about 280,000 people move to the state each year. The influx has steadily moved the state away from the Republicans. VoteCast found that about 6 out of 10 voters who moved there within the last 20 years voted for the Democratic Party.
Its growth pushed the suburbs deep into the state. According to economist Issi Romem, the Atlanta region expanded by an average of 61 square miles each year between 1990 and 2010, almost doubling that of any other city in the country. The rapid expansion has made the suburbs of Atlanta more dense and diverse, a pattern that favors improving Democratic margins.
About half of Georgia’s voters were identified as suburbs in a Senate vote. According to the voting cast, the Democratic Party beat the group by 54% to 46%.
Republicans lamented these losses where they once solidified the GOP’s victory across the state.
“Suburbs, my friends, the suburbs,” wrote Josh Holmes, a former top aide to former Senate leader Mitch McConnell, on Twitter. “I feel like a one-trick pony, but I’m here again. From talking about work and the economy … I went to an election plot in a short four years, and-after all- They were listening! “
Moderate voters supported Osov and Warnock about 2: 1 according to the voting cast.
Democrats have been mining and seeking help in the suburbs of Georgia for years, effectively taking advantage of this season’s election expansion and early voting opportunities.
About six out of ten voters in Georgia say they were contacted on behalf of Democratic candidates, compared to about half of Republican candidates. Democratic voters say they are about twice as likely to be contacted as Republican voters, with the help of registration, voting timing plans, or absentee ballots.
Evidence appeared in the results.
The fast-growing and exurb suburbs of Cerokee County, north of Atlanta, continue to be a deep mountain of Republican voting, even as Democrats improve their performance over the years. However, Leffler and Purdue managed 90% of Purdue’s November highs of nearly 100,000. This is a net loss of over 9,000 votes. Osov managed 94% of the total in November, with Warnock up one point.
South of Atlanta is Clayton County, which has the highest Democratic vote rate in metropolitan areas. The total number of Democratic live votes out there is often comparable to the Cherokee Republican Party. On Tuesday, Osov and Warnock controlled 96% of the Democratic Party’s November total, losing just 3,500 votes. Republicans agreed less than 80%.
Democratic strategist and organizer Glow Wargo said that after the victory, population growth and Democratic efforts across the state will intensify, not diminish.
“A party that has come up with demographics, geography, and how to connect with all voters, and is reaching out and expanding,” she said. “The party doing that will be the dominant party in Georgia and all the various states.”
Fingerhut reported from Washington and Boke from Baltimore.
Copyright 2021 AP communication. all rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed without permission.
Demuzu’s Georgia Alliance is diverse and broad. Is it durable?
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