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Texas results suggest that Republican Hispanic interests may be tolerated after Trump

Only 46 residents of Starr County, Texas, cast ballots in the state’s Republican primary two years ago. But last week, about 1,100 Republicans voted in a sparsely populated county that embraces the Mexican border.

A similar surge in Republican turnout has long been rolled out across South Texas. Democracy A base controlled by Latin voters. Approximately 30,000 people voted in the five border counties of the United States and Mexico. GOP Primary, more than 25% increase in participation from 2020.

The Texas primary, which kicked off in the 2022 midterm elections, has emerged as an urgent warning to Democrats trying to narrow the majority of parliament.The flow of Latin support for the Republican Party that emerged during the former presidential era Donald Trump During his tenure, it may turn out to be a more permanent political trend that may force Democrats to reassess how they win elections.

The reverberation is felt far beyond Texas.In the south FloridaWhen the Democrats were surprised by the loss of two house seats that reversed the previous cycle in 2020, some people stepped up their activities on the ground, which were largely interrupted during the pandemic. Say you have to. Perhaps more fundamentally, they say Democrats have to listen to the priorities of Latin voters and do more to make less assumptions about their support.

“It’s what the Democrats are trying to shake that affects this elitist brand,” said Devon Murphy Anderson, former chief financial officer of the Florida Democratic Party. “We know what’s best for you, and it’s our candidate.”

Murphy Anderson, co-founder of Florida’s democracy advocacy group Mi Vecino, plans to spend at least $ 2.3 million in the mid-term cycle and enroll at least 30,000 new voters in large numbers. .. Hispanic area.

Overall, Latinos still have significant support for the Democratic Party. Biden carried them 59 percent to 38 percent in 2020, which was 17 percent lower than Hillary Clinton’s 2016 margin, according to Pew Research Center data.

Kellyanne Conway, Trump’s adviser and 2016 campaign manager, said she presented data on the GOP invasion to Hispanic voters during the withdrawal of the Republican National Committee last weekend.

“The left only sees them as immigrant voters,” Conway said of Hispanic voters. In contrast, Mr. Trump has helped Republicans defeat Hispanics on issues such as job creation, education, and traditional religious beliefs. “We have an intellectual, financial and spiritual connection with them.”

Abel Prado, Managing Director of the Democracy Advocacy Group Cambio Texas in the Lower Rio Grande Valley, acknowledged that the Republicans may have stepped up recruitment efforts for candidates and contributed to a slight increase in primary participation. But, “Looking at the raw votes, we are still voting 3 to 1.”

Prado also said Republican efforts could backfire and ultimately invigorate local Democrats.

“Hopefully, bad headlines encourage candidates to invest more in the Lower Rio Grande Valley,” he said. “Republicans are throwing money into the valley without regrets. Democrats don’t know the same.”

Former President Donald Trump said that former President Donald Trump was “big” in energizing Latino Americans by classifying Democrats as socialists, who won a Republican nomination in Congress in southern Texas last week. It played a role. ” Still, as last week’s turnout shows, the party’s interests do not depend on his participation in the vote, she said. She said she was personally connected to voters.

Born in Mexico and immigrated to the United States at the age of six, Flores said of voters in her district, “They finally have Republicans who have similar stories to them and share their values. I’m watching. ” Includes the Brownsville border city. “I think it’s very important.”

Republican Primary Election Improvements in the Republican primary could go against decades of Democrat’s proposal that Texas’s fast-growing Hispanic population would eventually overturn America’s largest Republican state. After all, the bloated Hispanic community helped transform former Republican-minded California into the country’s largest blue state in the 1990s.

Flores voted for Barack Obama in 2008, but later became a Republican after becoming more politically involved and the party decided to better represent the traditional family and religious values ​​of her community. She later worked as a Hispanic organizer for Trump’s 2020 campaign, trying to attract voters who had long voted for democracy from customs rather than political beliefs.

“Unfortunately, most people didn’t know who they were voting for,” Flores said of a longtime Democrat of South Texas trying to turn him over in his race.

Flores said the National Republican Campaign Committee promised financial support, even though she was vulnerable in the general election. Democratic U.S. Congressman Vicente Gonzalez has switched districts and is currently competing with Flores in November, winning more than 23,000 votes to secure the Democratic nomination, more than double Flores’ total. ..

Texas gained more inhabitants than any other state between 2010 and 2020, driving the growth of Latin Americans to 29.1 million. According to APVoteCast, a national voter survey, Trump won 35% of Hispanic votes nationwide in 2020. This is about the same as what I got in Texas.

However, VoteCast has shown that it has invaded Latin voters in some states, such as Florida (45%) and Nevada (42%). Florida also experienced a Hispanic and overall population boom, according to last year’s census, and Trump left the state twice as Republicans expelled Democratic U.S. lawmakers Donna Chareira and Debbie McCarsel Powell in Miami in 2020. I got it.

Juan Carlos Planas, an election lawyer and now Democratic former Republican Florida parliamentarian, said there was a time for Democrats to run before the state’s August 23 Primary Association. rice field.

“The situation may look bad today, but I don’t know what will happen next,” Planas said. “Do you think Democrats need to strengthen their voter registration? That’s right. Democrats need to strengthen their ground games.”

Florida voters register on a party-by-party basis, unlike the primary elections in Texas. Last year, registered Florida Republicans surpassed Democrats for the first time in modern history, and GOP’s active registered voter lead has expanded in recent months. Trump worked well with Cuban-American voters in South Florida, significantly narrowing the Democratic lead in Miami-Dade County in 2020.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, scheduled to be reelected this fall and a potential presidential candidate for 2024, held a roundtable in support of anti-government protests in Communist Cuba last summer. .. The Biden administration also approached oil-rich Venezuela and its socialist president Nicolas Maduro after canceling US oil imports from Russia.

Dan Smith, a political scientist at the University of Florida who studies elections, said 2016 voters in the Cuban constituency didn’t have much support for Trump, but that changed in 2020.

“Sure, Democrats have lost the benefits they once had,” Smith said, adding that Republican efforts to classify Democratic candidates as socialists have been effective among Cuban and Venezuelan asylum seekers. ..

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Gomez Recon reported from Miami. The Associated Press writer Hannah Fingerhut contributed to this report.

Texas results suggest that Republican Hispanic interests may be tolerated after Trump

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