Tropical moisture set to reach the peak formation zone

Tallahassee, Florida (WTXL) — Tropical forecast data over a week usually tends to have a large margin of error, but different versions of the model may try to focus on a particular pattern.

This is the land-based mass of moisture in the lower part of Central America.

The circulation of small cyclones is inherently diminished and there is no chance of growing into a stronger tropical cyclone. However, the wider area of ​​moisture does not disappear immediately.

Tropical systems require large amounts of water to begin to transform into more organized turbulence. Over the weekend, humidity will continue to spread over Central America and the nearby Pacific and Caribbean waters.

Long-range forecast models show that the source of water will move north early next week to reach the waters adjacent to the Yucatan Peninsula.

ABC 27

This location is the main zone for the realization of the tropical turbulence in mid-June. Water temperatures far southwest of the Bay of Campeche and the Gulf of Mexico were in the mid-1980s.

Gulf water temperature (2021/06/10)

ABC 27

Typical tropical development zone in June

ABC 27

As of the publication of this article (June 10, 2021), accurate predictions of tropical cyclone outbreaks and movements in the region are unreliable. However, most long-term guidance in the middle and end of next week consistently shows obstacles to moving north in this major region of tropical cyclone growth.

The First Alert Weather team will keep track of pattern changes and adjustments over the next few days to recognize and notify you of potential tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico.

As always, follow the ABC 27 First Alert Weather Team. Facebook And twitter. Be sure to download the Storm Shield app and stream your clock and alerts directly to your smartphone to get the latest forecasts throughout the week. Get the app now: iPhone / iPad | Android.

Tropical moisture set to reach the peak formation zone

Source link Tropical moisture set to reach the peak formation zone

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