Nicole became a Category 1 hurricane Wednesday night as it continued its slow march toward Florida’s east coast.
Hurricane Hunter observed sustained winds of 75 mph. Nicole landed on Grand He Abaco just before noon on Wednesday.
At the time of the 7:00 p.m. recommendation,
- A tropical storm warning remains in place for most regions.
- Storm surge warnings remain in effect for the coast and the St. Johns River.
- Tropical storm observations continued in the interior of southeastern Georgia.
Heavy rain made the situation worse, and a win Wednesday night allowed us to see coastal conditions similar to what Ian had left in northeastern Florida by Thursday morning. brings more windy and wet conditions inland.
At 7pm on Wednesday, Nicole’s center was 100 miles east of West Palm Beach.
Nicole is moving west at nearly 13 mph. It will turn WNW tonight, turn NW on Thursday, and turn north or NE on Friday.
On the forecast track, Nicole’s center will move near or above Grand Bahama Island in the northwestern Bahamas this afternoon and evening, before making landfall on Florida’s east coast within the Hurricane Warning Area. Nicole’s center will then move across central and northern Florida to southern Georgia on Thursday and Thursday nights before moving to the Carolina on Friday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 miles per hour, with higher gusts. Little change in intensity is expected tonight and Nicole is forecast to remain a hurricane until reaching the east coast of Florida tonight or early Thursday. Expected to weaken as it moves through the southeast, it could become a tropical storm by Friday afternoon.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb.
Wednesday’s winds will start gusting at 40 to 50 mph and will be the strongest overnight until Thursday morning as a low pressure system crosses southern Florida.
Further inland, strong northerly winds could slow or temporarily prevent the decline of the St. Johns River from previous rains from Hurricane Ian.
Impact: Wednesday – Friday
- Surf Zone Breaker Waves: 10 Foot Waves
- dangerous rip current
- Offshore Sea: 16-22 feet (Thursday)
- Maximum high tide erosion Thursday morning
- Coastal flooding near full moon (especially at high tide)
- showers and storms
- High tide 3-5 feet beach, St. John’s south of downtown 2-4 feet
- Gusts of 40+ mph Wednesday-Thursday morning
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